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The end of Syria’s civil war and the beginning of the conflict over the spoils

Posted by BFP Staff on Sep 27, 2018 at 04:34 PM

Would be a disastrous mistake if the US leaves Syria to the whims of Putin, Rouhani, and Erdogan.

With Syria’s civil war nearing an end with the takeover of the city of Idlib by Assad’s forces and his allies, I do not expect that Syria will soon enter a period of calm and amicably divide the spoils of the war. Russia, Iran, Turkey, and the US have conflicting strategic interests in Syria, which are on a collision course.
Russia has and will continue to play a leading role that will, to a great extent, shape Syria’s post-war future. Beyond Syria, however, Russia is determined to fill the vacuum left by the Obama administration and project its power and influence throughout the Middle East, which will precipitate new regional frictions and adversarial rivalries.

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